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WINGSTOP INC earnings calls

WING · every analyst question and management's answer

Oct 28, 2026 earnings call — Plan to restore sales with loyalty and unit growth

Company updated full-year domestic same-store sales outlook to a decline of approximately 6.5% to 7.0%.

Revenue $0.2B (est $0.2B) · EPS $1.08 (est $1.02)

Key quotes

"We have made significant investments in our talent, our operations, launched our first loyalty program, and continued building capabilities that we believe will support our next phase of growth."

— Michael J. Skipworth (CEO) · Loyalty and marketing

"The Wingstop smart kitchen is an enabler for our back of house operations, and now it is up to our restaurant team members to deliver that guest experience consistently."

— Michael J. Skipworth (CEO) · Operations and quality

"With domestic average unit volumes of $1.8 million our current restaurant level model supports unlevered cash on cash returns of approximately 60% These attractive returns continue to support Brand partner investment in the brand and our development pipeline remains robust."

— Michael J. Skipworth (CEO) · Unit growth and economics

Analyst Q&A 8

early signs from marketing changes

Q (Brian Harbour · Morgan Stanley): Analyst asked if management has seen real-time responses to recent advertising changes and how to interpret those signs. He also asked about unit growth expectations for 2027 and whether openings delayed this year move into early 2027.

A: Management said they see encouraging early signals from promotions and marketing that show up in improved weekly sales, guest reactivation, fewer lapsed guests, and more organic search traffic. They said development demand remains strong, pointing to a pipeline of sold commitments and that international growth will help reach long-term unit targets.

"Obviously, we sit here today with a pipeline of sold commitments of over 2.3 thousand." — Michael J. Skipworth (CEO)

quarter guidance and next-year comps

Q (Christopher O'Cull · Baird): Analyst asked if fourth-quarter comp guidance reflects current trends and conservatism, and how to think about next year’s comp comparisons given consumer pressure.

A: Management said they considered current volatile consumer trends when setting guidance and have confidence in their strategies and proof points to hit the quarter’s guidance. They emphasized deliberate actions—sharper creative, stronger media mix, menu and promotional levers—intended to return the business to sustained same-store sales growth over time.

"So I think we certainly want to deliver and a high degree of confidence in our guidance for the quarter." — Alex Kaleida (CFO)

adjusted EBITDA and delivery channel

Q (Andrew Barish · Jefferies): Analyst asked if adjusted EBITDA should be modeled as roughly flat year-over-year and how the third-party delivery channel is performing heading into the season.

A: On adjusted EBITDA, management said the step-up in G&A and marketing for the fourth quarter implies you would be close to flat and suggested modeling it that way. On delivery, they said they intentionally increased the frequency and targeting of offers on delivery platforms and that the targeted approach has been effective in driving consideration.

"So I think you would be pretty close modeling that way." — Alex Kaleida (CFO)

franchisee development and marketing focus

Q (Sara Senatore · BofA): Analyst asked whether franchisees are changing how they develop sites given slightly lower returns and timing shifts, and whether marketing is refocusing on the core menu instead of new items like sandwiches.

A: Management said cadence of openings was affected by a new restaurant design rollout and market-level playbooks, but franchisee demand and returns remain strong and the sold-commitment pipeline is large. They said marketing is prioritizing and protecting core guests, leaning into Wingstop’s strengths (wings, flavor, value), shifting from broad brand awareness toward driving consideration while still pursuing new guest acquisition.

"As it relates to our marketing strategy, you know, obviously, we have talked about our core guests and how a priority of ours is to focus on and protect our core guests." — Michael J. Skipworth (CEO)

franchisee margins and guest mix

Q (James Salera · Stephens): Analyst asked how franchisee margins look given stepped-up value marketing and lower chicken prices, and whether value messaging is bringing back lapsed guests or attracting new ones.

A: Management said they are optimistic about margins into 2027 and are negotiating poultry pricing, expecting food costs to be at or slightly below this year’s full-year level; they also noted some unique corporate margin impacts from a recent acquisition. They said value initiatives and Club Wingstop enrollment are driving both reactivation and new-guest engagement, with new Club members returning and engaging at higher rates in the next 30 days.

"We kind of believe that we will either be at or slightly below what our full year food cost could be for this year." — Alex Kaleida (CFO)

flavor marketing and LTO support

Q (Wolfe): Analyst asked what creative and media support looked like for limited-time flavors like Lemon Pepper Trio and how that performed, plus how flavor cadence will integrate with Club Wingstop.

A: Management said they leaned into brand equity with Lemon Pepper Trio, added dedicated creative, and included it in paid and social media support as part of an evolving playbook. They said early results are encouraging, Lemon Pepper Trio performed well, and more flavor innovation is coming, with Club Wingstop used to drive consideration and personalization.

"And Lemon Pepper Trio performed really well for us." — Michael J. Skipworth (CEO)

value bundles versus personalization

Q (Gregory Francfort · Guggenheim): Analyst asked whether group bundles with just fries resonate or if marketing should shift to more individual value offers or add sides, and how personalization will play a role.

A: Management said they intentionally positioned group bundles with clear per-person messaging (for example, $7-per-person on a watch party bundle) and saw strong performance. They said app and Club Wingstop enable targeted, personalized offers by guest profile, so the mix of individual or group offers depends on customer behavior and will be measured and refined.

"I reference that watch party bundle and the strong performance we have seen with that." — Michael J. Skipworth (CEO)

operations issues and delivery partnerships

Q (Danilo Gargiulo · Bernstein): Analyst asked where customer complaints still rise and what operational fixes are planned, and then asked about the implications of Walmart entering delivery and whether Wingstop would partner.

A: Management said Wingstop’s Smart Kitchen gave better operational visibility, they are seeing reductions in food-quality incidents, and a new scorecard will focus on accuracy and in-restaurant execution to improve guest experience. On delivery competition like Walmart, they said delivery has a long runway, Wingstop is well positioned to win off-premise business, and if an opportunity improves share or economics they will evaluate it.

"I think it is clearly something that we will evaluate," — Michael J. Skipworth (CEO)

AI-generated notes on the earnings call transcript. Quotes are taken from the transcript. This is not a FolioObs investment view.

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