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PENNYMAC MTG INVT TR earnings calls

PMT · every analyst question and management's answer

Oct 29, 2026 earnings call — MSR sales and capital rotation strategy

Reported third-quarter net loss of $36 million and announced total closed and committed MSR sales of approximately $35 billion.

Revenue $0.0B (est $0.1B) · EPS $-0.41 (est $0.30)

Key quotes

"After quarter end, we entered into an agreement to sell another $12 billion in UPB, bringing our total closed and committed MSR sales to approximately $35 billion."

— Marshall Sebring · MSR sales and capital rotation

"Next, PMT's upcoming fourth quarter common dividend is expected to be reduced in order to maximize the potential for book value accretion and support the ongoing rotation of capital into higher returning assets."

— David Spector (CEO·CHAIR) · Dividend and buybacks

"Entering the third quarter, our modeled book value sensitivity to instantaneous 50 basis point parallel rate shock was just 0.7%, less than 1/4 of the 3.6% average across the peer group of publicly traded mortgage REITs."

— Marshall Sebring · Lower rate and spread sensitivity

Analyst Q&A 5

dividend vs share buyback

Q (Douglas Harter · BTIG): He asked what factors will decide how you split capital between dividend and stock buybacks. He also asked how you weigh buybacks versus keeping capital to grow the business.

A: Management said the dividend will likely be reduced in the fourth quarter and their focus is to maximize book value accretion while considering taxable income. They said they will compare stock buybacks to deploying capital into other residential mortgage assets and avoid shrinking the equity base too far.

"Well, look, I think that as we've talked about in our opening remarks, the dividend is likely going to be reduced in the fourth quarter." — David Spector (CEO·CHAIR)

dividend coverage and MSR sale use

Q (Bose George · KBW): He asked if a $0.30 dividend is covered by operating EPS and if MSR sale proceeds get redeployed quickly or hurt EPS.

A: Management said dividend stability is very important and that $0.30 is expected to be sustainable and tied to operating earnings and taxable income. They said MSR sale proceeds are redeployed quickly into investments like subordinate tranches and CMO floaters and into stock repurchases rather than left on the balance sheet.

"No, we look to redeploy that capital quickly rather than allowed to sit on the balance sheet in an investment." — Marshall Sebring

buyback size and MSR sale pricing

Q (Jason Weaver · JonesTrading): He asked how you will size buybacks relative to leverage and whether repurchases could limit raising leverage. He also asked at what valuation you sold $13 billion of MSRs and October sales versus carrying value.

A: Management said any buyback or investment will consider its effect on leverage and they will not repurchase at any leverage level; they are mindful of nonrecourse debt to equity. They also said the MSR sales were executed at their carrying values, across both high note-rate and low note-rate holdings.

"Yes. Without getting into the actual levels at which they traded, I can tell you that we sold them at our carrying values." — Marshall Sebring

drivers of better EPS and securitization demand

Q (Crispin Love · Piper Sandler): He asked what drove the improved adjusted EPS and higher run-rate ROE despite rates, and whether securitization demand remains strong for the ~30 expected deals in 2026.

A: Management said the improvement comes from diversifying and rotating capital out of MSR into higher returning investments and from interest rates that mitigate MSR speed issues. They said securitization demand remains strong, they have already priced 2 deals this quarter, and being a consistent issuer helps them price favorably.

"And so the combination of those 2 factors are really primary drivers between driving the run rate higher through the next 4 quarters compared to last quarter." — Kevin Ryan (CFO)

rates effect on originations and MSR supply

Q (Trevor Cranston · Citizens JMP): He asked how higher rates affect your pace of loan acquisition and securitization, especially rate-sensitive products like prime jumbo loans. He also asked about supply and buyer depth in the bulk MSR market.

A: Management said despite lower origination volumes, they still see sufficient originations from correspondent channels and PFSI to support their monthly deals. On bulk MSRs they said the market has depth to support expected sales, noted one servicer selling about $80 billion (much already transacted), and that low note-rate MSRs are particularly well bid.

"That part of the market is particularly well bid." — Marshall Sebring

AI-generated notes on the earnings call transcript. Quotes are taken from the transcript. This is not a FolioObs investment view.

PENNYMAC MTG INVT TR (PMT) · Earnings calendar

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