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KLA CORP earnings calls

KLAC · every analyst question and management's answer

Oct 28, 2026 earnings call — KLA reports record revenue and strong margins

KLA reported record revenue of $4.14 billion and first-time operating margins above 46%.

Revenue $4.1B (est $4.0B) · EPS $1.22 (est $1.19)

Key quotes

"KLA's performance in the quarter was supported by continued strength in leading edge foundry logic related to AI infrastructure investments, and increasing process control intensity across leading edge devices and advanced packaging."

— Richard Wallace (CEO) · AI and leading edge demand

"For calendar 2026, Advanced Packaging Process Control Systems revenue remains on track to hit $1.1 billion or more than 70% year over year growth."

— Richard Wallace (CEO) · Advanced packaging growth

"We have been proactively working with our strategic supply chain partners over the past year to increase their capacity in order to keep up with our demand."

— Richard Wallace (CEO) · Supply chain and backlog

Analyst Q&A 12

2027 growth vs WFE market

Q (James Schneider · Goldman Sachs): Analyst asked how management sees calendar 2027 shaping up and whether KLA can outgrow the roughly 30% WFE market growth.

A: Management said the company sees a favorable setup for 2027 driven by leading-edge investment, greenfield DRAM and advanced packaging. They expect supply to improve after earlier constraints and feel confident in the guidance, though they remain a bit behind in supply today.

"So we feel overall that the setup is very leading edge centric." — Bren D. Higgins (CFO)

Timing of 2027 growth (steady or back-loaded)

Q (James Schneider · Goldman Sachs): Analyst asked if 2027 will be ratable or again back-half loaded like 2026.

A: Management said they expect sequential growth for the next several quarters, which implies a stronger second half but a more linear pattern than the sharp half-to-half uptick seen previously. They expect continued sequential growth moving forward.

"Right now, would say, for the next several quarters, given the backlog growth and the visibility in the funnel that we will see sequential growth for the next several quarters." — Bren D. Higgins (CFO)

Gross margin outlook and legacy node intensity

Q (Harlan Sur · JPMorgan): Analyst asked if gross margin can return to the 63%+ range in 2027 and how much of process control is mature/specialty (legacy nodes) with lower intensity.

A: Management reiterated the Investor Day target range of 63% to 64% and said memory cost headwinds remain but they expect improvement over 2027 into 2028 as pricing initiatives and manufacturing scale play through. They also said process control intensity is lower in mature legacy nodes compared with leading edge.

"When you look at the target range--right, our target range that we outlined back at our Investor Day was 63% to 64%." — Bren D. Higgins (CFO)

Lead times, hiring and supply investments

Q (Christopher Muse · Cantor Fitzgerald): Analyst asked what they've seen in the last 3–6 months on lead times and how that affects 2028 outlook, hiring, and supply chain work.

A: Management said customers are asking them to prioritize projects and are committing to multiyear investment cycles, requiring KLA to invest across talent, facilities and supply chain. They reported average lead times around 12 months, with some products (Gen4/Gen5) longer, and said they are adding headcount and expanding factories and supplier investments.

"On lead times, would say, Lisa, and they vary by product, but we are averaging right around 12 months or so." — Bren D. Higgins (CFO)

Share gains and big DRAM increase

Q (Timothy Arcuri · UBS): Analyst asked if KLA can grow faster than the market next year (gain share) and what explains a big DRAM revenue increase.

A: Management said they expect to maintain share growth as supply improves and the market inflects toward areas that benefit process control. They noted DRAM inspection intensity is increasing, greenfield fabs and performance requirements (HBM, less redundancy) are driving more investment and intensity similar to leading edge in some cases.

"So, yeah, it is an intensity improving and we see that continuing as we go forward." — Bren D. Higgins (CFO)

Long-term WFE potential

Q (Sreekrishnan Sankarnarayanan · TD Cowen): Analyst asked whether greenfield DRAM and 2 nm logic are the key drivers for outperformance and what WFE could peak at.

A: Management said those drivers matter and that 2026 was more a supply issue for KLA than demand, and they are now positioning supply chains and suppliers for higher scenarios into 2029/2030. They noted the prior Investor Day $220 billion plus/minus $20 billion view now looks conservative and they are more optimistic, but they would not give a new 2030 number on the call.

"Well, I am not going to guide a new number for 2030." — Bren D. Higgins (CFO)

2030 model timing and marginal operating margin

Q (Stacy Rasgon · Research): Analyst asked why the 2030 financial model can't happen earlier and whether incremental operating margin should be structurally higher given current performance.

A: Management said the 2030 model included assumptions on service growth, non-semi PC growth and share gains (to closer to 9% share of market) that are not yet achieved, so timing differs. They added that incremental operating margin depends on year-to-year growth rates: stronger growth pushes margin toward the top or above the model range.

"So that growth is more demand from the same customers for a lot of the same products." — Bren D. Higgins (CFO)

CapEx spike and services growth

Q (Joe Quatrochi · Wells Fargo): Analyst asked what drove the record quarterly CapEx and whether services growth will stay at the high end in 2027.

A: Management said a significant land purchase in India drove a large portion of the quarter's CapEx and they expect annual CapEx to trend up in absolute dollars in the $600 million to $800 million range while targeting 2% to 3% of revenue. They see services continuing toward the higher end of its long-term growth range given high installed base utilization and yield value.

"So, that was a large portion of CapEx." — Bren D. Higgins (CFO)

Supply chain status and Q4 constraints

Q (Melissa Weathers · Deutsche Bank): Analyst asked what inning KLA is in expanding supply, risk of further tightening, and whether December guidance was supply constrained.

A: Management said optical components set their shipment capacity and the company has worked to secure supplies and manage small component issues; overall they could have shipped more earlier but supply is improving and that informs guidance. They also noted some customers cannot accept deliveries due to their own facility delays, so delivery and utilization depend on more than just equipment supply.

"I think for KLA, we do not really compete for the things that matter the most to us." — Richard Wallace (CEO)

Bottlenecks for 2028 and China outlook

Q (Chris Caso · Wolfe): Analyst asked whether bottlenecks will be on KLA’s side or in customers/supply chain for 2028 and what is embedded for China in Q4 and next year.

A: Management said bottlenecks can move between equipment, construction, power and facilities, and KLA's goal is not to be the constraint — they can add shifts, hire and invest in facilities to avoid being the bottleneck. They said China was 27%–29% in Q4 and they expect China to grow more slowly than the overall market, likely in the low 20s percent in 2027.

"So our motto is we are not going to be the constraint." — Bren D. Higgins (CFO)

Advanced packaging sensitivity and logic node share

Q (Shane Brett · Morgan Stanley): Analyst asked if customers require higher sensitivity tools for packaging and if KLA expects notable share gains at 2 nm/1.4 nm.

A: Management said packaging is moving toward front-end-like processes with more hybrid bonding and higher sensitivity needs (100 nanometer range), and KLA's advanced platforms and R&D position it well. For logic, next nodes tuned for high performance compute mean more sampling and advanced capabilities, which should support continued node-to-node share growth and adoption of KLA's e-beam plus optical linkage.

"So we think this part of the market continues to be an opportunity for KLA." — Bren D. Higgins (CFO)

Memory purchasing strategy for 2027

Q (Timm Schulze-Melander · Rothschild and Company, Redburn): Analyst asked how KLA is handling memory purchasing for 2027 given higher memory costs and BOM exposure.

A: Management said their focus this year was securing supply as ramps occurred, which required buying more at higher prices; they are now less concerned about supply but remain exposed to memory pricing and feel good about the supply secured to meet future requirements.

"Well, certainly, our focus early on and through this year has been mostly around securing supply." — Bren D. Higgins (CFO)

AI-generated notes on the earnings call transcript. Quotes are taken from the transcript. This is not a FolioObs investment view.

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