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AURORA INNOVATION INC earnings calls

AUR · every analyst question and management's answer

Oct 28, 2026 earnings call — Driverless truck production ramp and Charger MOU

Company expects a steady production rate of 20 trucks per week in early December.

Revenue $0.0B (est $0.0B) · EPS $-0.12 (est $-0.12)

Key quotes

"We have 20-plus driverless trucks already built and coming into the fleet and production is accelerating."

— Christopher Urmson (CEO) · Production ramp

"Building on an initial Transportation-as-a-Service agreement signed earlier this year, Charger Logistics has selected Aurora to scale their autonomous fleet with a plan to own and operate 500 Driver-as-a-Service trucks."

— Christopher Urmson (CEO) · Major customer MOU

"With our weigh station traversal capability, which you can see in the video on Page 5 of the slide deck, the Aurora Driver can now autonomously determine if a station is open, navigate to an available scale lane and adapt to different scale configurations."

— Christopher Urmson (CEO) · Weigh station capability

Analyst Q&A 6

Working with Daimler and other truck makers

Q (George Gianarikas · Canaccord Genuity): The analyst asked how Daimler’s open software and factory-integrated chassis strategy affects third-party developers like Aurora. He also asked what caused the delay to reach 20 trucks per week and how confident management is about December timing.

A: Management said they want the Aurora Driver available on all OEM platforms and look forward to working with Daimler when the opportunity arises. They said the production ramp hit material availability, component quality and end-of-line issues, causing about a 6-week delay, but they have worked to fix them and expect 200 trucks out of this in February and 1,000-plus trucks on the road by year-end next year.

"We've talked for a long time about how we would like to have the Aurora Driver available on all OEM platforms." — Christopher Urmson (CEO)

Cash burn rise and 2027 truck capacity

Q (Nancy Hipp · Morgan Stanley): The analyst asked how much of the higher Q4 cash burn is temporary working capital or production costs versus structural expense, and how to think about quarterly cash burn into 2027. She also asked how much of 2027 capacity is already contracted versus still needing contracts.

A: Management said the cash burn increase is primarily to scale the fleet—buying additional kits and components and increasing production capacity—and not a material change to R&D structural costs, though G&A will grow slightly to support hundreds of trucks. Christopher said the initial 200 trucks are fully contracted, the TaaS fleet capped at about 500 is nearly fully allocated, and 1,000 trucks of DaaS MOUs were announced for '27 and '28.

"So the initial 200 trucks we've talked about is fully contracted." — Christopher Urmson (CEO)

Does 30,000 include Daimler?

Q (Ryan Sigdahl · Craig-Hallum Capital Group): The analyst asked whether Daimler is included in the 30,000-truck target for 2030 or if that only covers existing partners. He also asked if society is better appreciating benefits like consistency and courteous driving, not just safety.

A: Management said they expect demand from customers and that the Aurora Driver will be very valuable; customers today prefer OEMs, but ultimately will want the Aurora Driver on the vehicles they can. They added the 30,000 is a cumulative number and a relatively small percentage of the industry's roughly 250,000 annual truck builds, so there are many ways and OEM combinations to reach that figure, and they continue to tell the story of safety, sustainability and reduced supply chain costs.

"And while today, they certainly have a preference for OEM, and we'd like to meet them where those preferences are, when push comes to shove, they'll ultimately want to get the Aurora Driver on the vehicles they can." — Christopher Urmson (CEO)

Finalizing MOUs and policy outlook

Q (Colin Rusch · Oppenheimer): The analyst asked for an update on negotiations to reach definitive agreements from MOUs, timing and remaining key elements. He also asked how management views the chance that a federal autonomous trucking framework could pass after the election and in the lame-duck session.

A: Management said the core elements were negotiated in the MOUs and they are focusing on feedback across customers so agreements will travel well and speed future signings; the remaining items are operational details like servicing, disposal and second-life usage to support 1 million miles in 4 to 5 years. On policy, they said there is strong, bipartisan engagement from the Executive branch and Congress, the BUILD America 250 language had bipartisan support, and they are somewhat optimistic but waiting to see how things fall in the coming weeks.

"I think we've already aligned on all of those when we did the MOU." — David Maday (CFO)

Material delays, margin effect and weigh stations

Q (Aman Gupta · Goldman Sachs): The analyst asked whether sourcing higher-priced components to fix material availability impacted margins or free cash flow and whether that affects Investor Day gross-profit targets. He also asked what Aurora is doing to help customers handle weigh stations, security checkpoints and other workflow integration versus lane expansion.

A: Management said the issues were not a component-cost problem and did not impact gross margin; in many cases resourcing to more capable suppliers was cost neutral or saved money given reduced rework, and the supply of Aurora Driver kits is pacing ahead of the truck build while they start a second shift. On operations, they said EPTI can bypass weigh stations but adds complexity, so they built the ability to detect, enter and traverse weigh stations working with state authorities, and they continue to add features like fueling-station routing while yard navigation is currently less important.

"This didn't have or doesn't have cost impacts for us." — David Maday (CFO)

DaaS pipeline size and endpoint costs

Q (Cole Couzens · Wolfe): The analyst asked how big the near-term DaaS pipeline is beyond the public 1,000-truck MOUs and when those would convert to purchases. He also asked how cost prohibitive customer endpoint changes are and what facility modifications are needed.

A: Management said they will not discuss backlog now and prefer to cite MOUs with core terms negotiated. They expect the two MOUs to convert to 1,000 trucks and are talking with multiple customers; most TaaS customers intend to be DaaS, they have 10 driverless customers today, and they do not plan to change their core role of delivering the driver. On facilities, they said their intent is to operate from existing facilities with little change; over time customers may optimize sites, and pre-trip and launch/land staff are needed but often already exist, so endpoint costs are not seen as material.

"Our intent is to be able to operate from the facilities as they are today." — Christopher Urmson (CEO)

AI-generated notes on the earnings call transcript. Quotes are taken from the transcript. This is not a FolioObs investment view.

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